Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 50.004875 57.498621 65.220494 73.735944 82.828594 92.215070 102.605815
2026-01-25 38.949129 49.596201 61.135557 74.419885 89.151331 104.863076 122.767983
2026-02-01 31.592162 43.745531 57.453172 73.742450 92.288721 112.502312 135.967219
2026-02-08 26.339157 39.492993 54.881592 73.678888 95.554263 119.813573 148.382765
2026-02-15 21.758894 35.424053 52.005977 72.797188 97.481159 125.278856 158.424201
2026-02-22 18.908363 33.148650 50.987176 73.844554 101.419924 132.848861 170.682301
2026-03-01 16.660706 31.380755 50.380338 75.206347 105.579938 140.556233 182.999078
2026-03-08 13.830487 28.480867 48.083545 74.280933 106.839087 144.755715 191.166140
2026-03-15 11.173631 25.487477 45.414951 72.682944 107.116135 147.667873 197.725187
2026-03-22 10.438278 25.284732 46.425011 75.728044 113.046458 157.254498 212.064362
2026-03-29 9.335941 24.369174 46.367394 77.324140 117.135470 164.611756 223.764202
2026-04-05 7.734142 22.422648 44.725466 76.734436 118.413188 168.532621 231.360389
2026-04-12 6.339612 20.639945 43.217685 76.270397 119.836219 172.648543 239.238772
2026-04-19 5.341144 19.415250 42.437182 76.725316 122.388681 178.116881 248.722395
2026-04-26 4.244301 17.786375 40.921742 76.080066 123.458028 181.717649 255.926987
2026-05-03 3.413795 16.523694 39.870834 76.007482 125.216568 186.129462 264.079404
2026-05-10 2.572779 15.008285 38.297394 75.111972 125.836408 189.085522 270.437150
2026-05-17 2.143684 14.380394 38.119485 76.177181 129.018127 195.217492 280.640670
2026-05-24 1.810864 13.917612 38.179020 77.562386 132.610862 201.857060 291.461299
2026-05-31 1.264164 12.611877 36.695510 76.621107 133.047010 204.498813 297.375567
2026-06-07 0.774167 11.155549 34.811871 74.995527 132.496440 205.847656 301.667414
2026-06-14 0.736779 11.414056 36.057304 78.092976 138.370496 215.358529 316.012144
2026-06-21 0.597245 11.167030 36.340821 79.716132 142.227029 222.301591 327.195284